Probability

Practice Problems





Problems With Solutions

1. Aaron selects a card from a standard deck. What is the probability that it is...
  1. a face card?
  2. less than a 4 or a heart?
  3. an ace and a face card?


Solution

There are 12 cards which have a face on them (4 Jacks, 4 Queens, 4 Kings); the probability of getting a face card is P(face) = 12 / 52.

The events {card less than 4} and {card is a heart} are not mutually exclusive. Thus, P(less than 4 or heart) = P(less than 4) + P(heart) - P(hearts less than 4) =

8 / 52 + 13 / 52 - 2 / 52 = 19 / 52


There are no Aces that have a face card on them! (see below)
Aces don't have heads! Aces don't have heads! Aces don't have heads! Aces don't have heads!


Thus P(ace and face card) = 12 / 52 = 0



2. Julia picks 3 cards from a deck of 52.
  1. What is the probability that all 3 cards are diamonds?
  2. What is the proability that all 3 cards are 7's?


Solution

There are C(13, 3) = 286 ways to choose three cards that are all diamonds out of C(52, 3) = 22,100 ways to select three cards, so the probability of selecting 3 diamonds is 286 / 22,100 = .013.

There are C(4, 3) = 4 ways to choose 3 7's out of C(52, 3) = 22,100 ways to select three cards. Thus P(3 7's) = 4 / 22,100 = .00018.

3. You are dealt 4 clubs from an ordinary deck of 52. What is the probability that your next card is a club? If you are dealt two cards instead of one, what are your chances that exactly one of them is a club?

Solution

There are 13 clubs in a deck of cards. If you are dealt 4 of them, there are only 9 clubs left in the deck. In all, there are 52 - 4 = 48 cards left in the deck. The probability of the next card being a club is 9 / 48.

Two cards out of 48 left in the deck may be dealt C(48,2) = 1128 ways. One club may be dealt in 9 * 39 = ways (there are 9 ways to choose a club, and 39 ways to choose the last card so that it is NOT a club). Therefore, the probability of receiving exactly one club from the next two cards is 351 / 1128 = .311



4. A gambler is playing a game of poker has the following hand:

3 of Spades 4 of Hearts 5 of Diamonds 3 of Hearts Queen of Spades


The gambler is permitted to discard two cards, and be dealt two new cards from the dealer. Should the gambler


If the gambler will win more money from a full house than a straight, would you reccomend that she attempt to get a full house?

Solution

Case 1: Attempting a Full House

To find the probability of obtaining a straight, we must find (1) the number of ways to get two Queens OR a Queen and a three, and (2) the number of ways possible to get two more cards.

There are 3 * 2 = 6 ways to be given two Queens, and 3 * 2 = 6 ways to be given a Queen and a 3 (there are three Queens left that may be picked; to each one, there are two 3's that may be picked). Thus there are 6 + 6 = 12 card combinations that will give a full house.

47 cards remain in the deck; there are C(47,2) = 1081 ways to select two cards from those remaining. Thus the probability of selecting the cards that will give a full house is 12 / 1081 = .011

Case 2: Attempting a Straight

To find the probability of obtaining a straight, we must find (1) the number of ways to get a five and a six OR a two and a six, and (2) the number of ways possible to get two more cards.

There are 3 * 4 = 12 ways to get a five and a six, and 4 * 4 = 16 ways to get a two and a six. It follows that there are 12 + 16 = 28 card combinations that will give a straight. The find the probability that those combinations are drawn is 28 / 1081 = .026

The probability of getting a straight (.026) is larger than that of getting a full house (.011) by a factor of 2 and a third. The chances are in favor of getting a straight. However, since the probabilites are relatively small, the added incentive of receiving more money from winning on a full house may influence the gambler to go against the odds!



5. The following cards are laid out on a table:
10 of Hearts 5 of Hearts 7 of Hearts 2 of Hearts 9 of Hearts 6 of Hearts


If you randomly select 2 cards, what is the probability that you add the values of the cards selected and get an even number? that the cards you select are both prime?

Solution

There are C(6, 2) = 15 ways to select 2 cards from a total of six.

To get an even number, one must have either (a) two even cards or (b) two odd cards. There are C(3, 2) = 3 ways to select 2 even cards, and C(3, 2) = 3 ways to select 2 odd cards. It follows that there are 6 ways to select two cards whose digits add to an even number.

The probability of getting two cards whose values add to an even number is 6 / 15.

A prime number has the property that the only two numbers that evenly divide it are 1 and itself. Thus 5, 7, and 2 are the prime numbers above. They may be selected in C(3, 2) = 3 ways out of a total of 15 possible ways to select two cards; thus the probability of obtaining it is 3 / 15.



6. A standard deck of cards is divided into two piles: the red cards (hearts and diamonds) and the black cards (clubs and spades). A cube numbered 1-6 is rolled; if an even number appears, a card is selected from the red pile. If an odd number is rolled, a card is drawn from the black pile.

  1. what is the probability that a red card is selected?
  2. if a two is rolled, what is the probability that of selecting a diamond?
  3. given that a 5 of spades is selected, what is the probability that a 4 was rolled?
  4. what is the probabilty that a face card is drawn given that a 3 was rolled?


Solution

The probability of a red card being selected depends on the number rolled on the cube. Since 3 numbers are even on the cube, out of a total of 6, the probability of selecting a red card is 3 / 6 = 1 / 2.

If a two was rolled, then a card is drawn from the red pile. The probability of drawing a diamond from the red pile is 1 / 2.

If one selected a Five of Spades, then an odd number must have been rolled. If an odd number was rolled, then 4 could not have been rolled. Thus P( 4 | 5 of spades) = 0.

If a three is rolled, one must select from the black pile. There are 6 face cards in that pile, so P(face) = 6 / 26.




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